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Board OntologyProduct

Delivery Predictability

Percentage of committed deliverables shipped on or before the originally-promised date within a measurement window (typically a quarter). Surfaces whether the engineering organization can be trusted to hit commitments the company makes externally — to customers in contracts, to the board in quarterly plans, to GTM teams sequencing launches. Common pitfall: gaming. Teams over-deliver by under-promising (predictability climbs while velocity drops) or move the goalposts (re-baseline mid-quarter so "on-time" stays high). Boards should ask for "predictability against original commitment", not "against current plan", and pair with throughput trends. — Product KPI, I'mBoard-authored (editorial tier).

I'mBoard-authored (editorial tier)

No public third-party standard anchors this KPI yet, so I'mBoard authors and maintains the definition — transparently labeled as editorial tier. See the ontology methodology for the published vs editorial tier system and the back-attribution workstream.

Rogue ID: product.delivery_predictability Type: Percentage (%) Domain: Product

Definition

Percentage of committed deliverables shipped on or before the originally-promised date within a measurement window (typically a quarter). Surfaces whether the engineering organization can be trusted to hit commitments the company makes externally — to customers in contracts, to the board in quarterly plans, to GTM teams sequencing launches. Common pitfall: gaming. Teams over-deliver by under-promising (predictability climbs while velocity drops) or move the goalposts (re-baseline mid-quarter so "on-time" stays high). Boards should ask for "predictability against original commitment", not "against current plan", and pair with throughput trends.

Formula

delivery_predictability_pct = (commitments_delivered_on_time / total_commitments) × 100, measured against the originally-promised date (not the most recently re-baselined date). Define "on time" explicitly — within the promised week, sprint, or quarter — and apply consistently.

Why it matters

Predictability is the contract between engineering and the rest of the business. When it slips, GTM cannot sequence launches, sales cannot promise dates, and the board cannot trust the quarterly plan. Sustained low predictability is a leading indicator of either capacity mismatch, planning hygiene problems, or accumulated technical debt.

How to interpret

Industry folk-wisdom, not citation-grade: 70–85% predictability is typical for healthy growth-stage engineering organizations; 90%+ usually means sandbagging (commitments are too soft); below 60% means the planning process is broken or capacity is mismatched. Trend matters more than absolute level — a stable 75% is healthier than a 90% sliding to 70% quarter-over-quarter.

  • product.key_initiatives_status
  • product.capacity_allocation_pct
  • product.innovation_capacity_pct
  • product.scalability_headroom

Source

I'mBoard editorial — authored and maintained by I'mBoard, first published 2026-04-01. No third-party standard is cited for this KPI; when one emerges, the definition is back-attributed and promoted to the published tier (a minor version bump). Read the ontology methodology for the published vs editorial tier system, attribution rules, and dispute process.

Industry benchmark

A reference distribution sourced from imboard Editorial (2026):

PercentileValue
25th55%
Median70%
75th85%

Higher is better.

Stage relevance

Company stagePriority
Series ACore
Series BCore
Series C+Core
PublicCore

Suggested for stages: Series A, Series B, Series C+, Public.

Default owning functions

  • R&D
  • Product

Machine-readable

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